Showing posts with label Nigeria. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Nigeria. Show all posts

Tuesday, 9 September 2014

Top 5 food markets in sub-Saharan Africa


The food sector is the focus of investors who are seeking to capture the opportunity of a rising middle class in Africa. 
They were lost in Luanda, Angola's bustling capital, until they found the McDonalds. Being American in a familiar place in a foreign country is home until you see the price for the burger meal: $14. 
This being Africa means there must be a local twist, says the American tourist John, and sometimes the twist is the price.
Investing in the sub-Saharan African market is the right move at the right time. Call it the “last frontier” or the “last big opportunity.” Either way, the numbers speak to great prospects.
The International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) latest Regional Economic Outlook for sub-Saharan Africa projects GDP growth to reach 5.5% in 2014 from around 5% in 2013. The accelerating growth is expected to be buoyed by large investments in infrastructure and mining, maturing investments in transport and telecommunications, and a rebound in agricultural output.
The sustained boom creates more consumers. Global management consulting firm Mckinsey & Company projects that more than half of African households will have discretionary income by 2020, rising to 130 million households from 85 million today. Restaurants want a piece of the pie.
Kentucky Fried Chicken (KFC) and McDonalds are the big first movers. Other American brands, including Burger King and Pizza Hut, are salivating at the growing opportunity. But franchises are not the only players as local brands, including South Africa's Debonairs Pizza and Nando’s, continue to expand across the region.
Here are the top 5 countries for restaurant expansion in sub-Saharan Africa:
Nigeria
It has a Johnny Rockets! But the entrance of lesser known brands Johnny Rockets and Dominos underline two big things about Nigeria: (1) its approximate 170 million-plus population (biggest in sub-Saharan Africa) and (2) its GDP, which stands north of US$520-billion - the largest in sub-Saharan Africa.
Nigeria’s population is likely to overtake the United States by 2045, according to the United Nations, and its GDP is likely to surpass US$1.6-trillion by 2030 with a yearly growth rate of 7.1%, propelling it into the top 20 for economies by GDP. In a similar time frame, global management consulting firm Accenture in a recent report projects consumer spending to grow to $167-billion by 2020.
Tapping into this market is obviously imperative to gaining market share in sub-Saharan Africa. But creativity is necessary – for example, throw in jollof rice or seafood okra to excite the local palate. Nigerian tastes span local delights to British adoptions and American transformations.
Kenya
Kenya is a favored destination for investment in Africa. It is sub-Saharan Africa’s sixth largest economy and population. And its birthrate remains in the top quartile globally. The IMF projects the Kenyan economy to grow 5% in both 2014 and 2015, compared to 4.7% in 2013. All this being said, the underlining numbers in Kenya indicate more spending consumers in one of Africa’s biggest food-loving countries.
Accenture projects consumer spending to grow to US$38-billion by 2020. back in 2012, an Africa-focused private equity firm invested in Nairobi Java House, a local Kenyan coffee house and restaurant, signifying a new focus of investment firms. A large expansion by Kentucky Fried Chicken (KFC) only further underlines the opportunity. And Subway has entered and likely confronting Subzone, a healthy eating alternative in Nairobi that has a similar look and appeal of Subway.
The Kenyan palate, to a distance observer, initially seems fulfilled by the simple presence of meat – ideally chicken. But locals will suggest that you have only tapped the surface if you leave with that belief. Asian influence, British and American influence (from Kenyans studying abroad), and a well-travelled middle class undoubtedly implies greater diversification.
South Africa
The former “largest economy” in sub-Saharan Africa is still trying to get its growth back on track. The IMF projects the economy to grow 2% in 2014, only barely surpassing the 1.9% growth in 2013. Weaker economic numbers worry investors and politicians alike. Yet consumer spending remains strong with untapped potential.
Consumer spending, projected at US$315-billion in 2020 by Accenture, will be approximately double that of Nigeria. The South African palate is nuanced accompanied by larger pockets. Local brands, including Spur and Ocean Basket, compete strongly against Western brands inside (and outside) South Africa. It is also easy to find a McDonalds and a KFC in country.
Skeptics routinely suggest that the food service business is approaching saturation in South Africa. Yet all the numbers indicate growing competition, but nowhere near any level where investors cannot snag great returns.
Uganda and Tanzania
This grouping will not excite Tanzanians and Ugandans – the countries are definitely different in many ways. But they do have a lot in common too. As the 5th and 7th most populated countries in sub-Saharan Africa, Tanzania and Uganda already possess large consumer bases. This base will only expand with birthrates in the top 20 globally – Uganda at the 3rd highest and Tanzania is the 18th highest.
Tanzania and Uganda embody the East Africa boom. Underpinned by recent natural resource discoveries, both countries possess fast-growing economies. The IMF projects the Tanzanian economy to grow 7% in 2014, compared to 6% in 2013 while the Ugandan economy grows at 6.25% in 2014, compared to 5.75% in 2013. As commercialisation of these resources take hold and pipeline projects mature, these growth figures may very much be higher in a few years.
If not for the supply chain challenges, many investors think these two countries would rise to the top as investment destinations for the food service industry. Yet a lack of commercial quality inputs, ranging from potatoes typically for French fries to meats (i.e. chicken and beef) stymie operators and create deficiencies throughout the value chain. Focused efforts on agriculture from central governments and local investors will continue to improve the industry’s prospects.
Honorable mention: Angola and Ethiopia

This article is re-published with permission from Frontier's content partner, Ventures Africa.
Ventures Africa chronicles business and investment news, and the success stories of African entrepreneurs and business leaders.

Thursday, 4 September 2014

Top property markets in Africa



Andrew Golding, the chief executive of Pam Golding Properties, tells Frontier why he is optimistic about the property sector in Africa.

Which African countries have the best opportunity for property investors?
Each African country has its own specific dynamics and opportunities. Pam Golding operates in all the SADC countries, and in Kenya and Uganda in East Africa. 
Mozambique is 'the flavour of the month' at the moment, due to its booming resources sector. There is a lot of activity across all the segments of the property sector, with cranes dominating the skyline of Maputo. One can find upmarket leisure developments just south of Maputo that cost US$10-million a unit. Two years ago this would have been unthinkable. Mozambique has a shortage of A grade residential accommodation, but this area is developing rapidly. We are very optimistic about the extent that this is going to happen.
The same thing is happening in Nairobi (Kenya) where the market is really doing well, and has similar characteristics as South Africa's. There is shortage of stock and yet there are many buyers with purchasing power.

We are seeing more investment in residential and commercial market segments across the board. There is a culture in many countries of investing in residential property - the buy-to-let market. Nairobi has strong buy-to-let developments. There is definitely a strong but small residential market in Lusaka (Zambia). Namibia, Zimbabwe and Swaziland are enjoying quite a strong residential market characterised by shortage of stock, moderate to good price growth (depending on the focus market), and a strong buy-to-let market.
The two countries with massive growth opportunities that we are now targeting are Angola and Nigeria. The Nigerian market is huge (150 million people) and potentially an enormous opportunity, but with a lot of potential pitfalls.
Uganda is an interesting market. We have just been appointed to do a project there - a residential golf estate located between Entebbe and Kampala, a beautiful site on Lake Victoria. The developer who is associated with a hotel which is already operating is now launching 100 residential units at an average cost of US$1-million per unit. All indications are that the project will be finished successfully. In Uganda and several other countries, there is a lot of demand for upmarket property.
Other notable markets are the Indian Ocean Islands of Mauritius and Seychelles. They continue to tag along remarkably well. The Marina development in Seychelles that we are involved in is almost complete. We have sold 450 out of 550 properties, to the value of more than US$500-million. The country continues to attract buyers looking for that sort of lifestyle, whether it is leisure or permanent. There is a big cross-section of nationalities that have bought property here. 
We are about to launch a new big development in the north of Mauritius. We have been involved in this project for the last 10 years. There is also potential of at least 500 units in the form of an integrated resort scheme in the south. The scheme will allow owners to buy in at an entry level of between US$1 -1.5m.
What is your strategy for entering new markets?
We have a few models. In Zambia we have a franchise in which we are shareholders. In Kenya, it is a 100% franchise. It depends on the individual operator that we find in a specific country. The key to success is finding somebody who fits into our corporate culture and who we believe we can have a long-term relationship with. In Nigeria, we are an equity participant in a business. Our entry strategy is guided by various factors such as the appetite of the investors - whether they want us there or not, or whether they would benefit from our participation as shareholders as opposed to being an operator.
What are the trends in South Africa’s property market?
Two years ago and 18 months ago someone turned on the lights, and suddenly the stock started to dry out in one or two pockets. Now most of the metros are characterised by the same phenomenon - a critical shortage of stock, buyers competing with each other, and property starting to sell at asking prices or even above asking price...

Monday, 25 August 2014

Meet the Nigerian fashion designer building Africa's Hermès


From Goldman Sachs to launching her own fast-growing high-end fashion start-up, Nigerian entrepreneur is looking to tap into Africa's growing luxury goods market.
Kunmi Otitoju, a 30-year-old Nigerian fashion designer and entrepreneur, holds two Computer Science degrees – a Bachelor of Science degree with first-class honors from Howard University and a Master of Science degree from Virginia Tech.
But her first love was Fine Art. As a high school student in Lagos, she won the Fine Arts prize at school every year for 3 years. Having moved to the U.S. when she was 17, and then to Europe at the age of 25, Otitoju found herself deeply enmeshed in western culture. Keen on preserving her Nigerian identity and eager to propagate facets of Nigerian culture, she conceived the idea of lining high-quality leather bags with Aso-oke fabric, a hand-loomed cloth woven by Nigeria’s Yoruba people.
In 2011, after stints at Goldman Sachs and a few other international corporations, Otitoju established Minku, a fast-growing high-end Afro-centric brand that produces luxury bags, wallets and other fashion accessories for men and women by subtly blending Aso-oke into contemporary Spanish leathers to present a transcontinental finish.
All Minku’s products are hand-made at a workshop in Barcelona, Spain, but they are sold at high-end stores in Nigeria and on the company’s website.
Otitoju recently spoke to me about her journey, her future plans, and the state of luxury goods in Africa.
Why Aso-Oke?
For me, Aso-Oke is luxury. It is hand-woven, the weaving is dense, in the imperfection of the weaving lies evidence of the human touch, and it comes in sophisticated colours and patterns. What is luxury afterall? For me, it is the finest aspects of one’s culture, distilled, packaged, presented to, and accepted by the rest of the world. For example, Italy has leather and coffee as some of the finest aspects of its culture, and that is evident with the luxury companies out of Italy. Same with Switzerland and watches. Africa was a bit late to the branded luxury game, but we are catching up. Aso-oke lets me contribute to this in a small way.
Are you expanding into other goods and services?
Yes. We now offer a personalization service that lets our clients customize a purchase with their name/initials/message embossed onto the leather. It is a nice way to personalize one’s Minku bag, or just to include a message that is a reminder of love or a feeder of good vibes.
In our latest collection, I introduce bracelets for men. Men’s bracelets have gained wide acceptance among males, from surfers in Cape Town to investment bankers in New Jersey. I personally buy into the idea of a man wearing a beaded bracelet — it tells a story of travel and daring, and it alludes to an open mind. So combining precious metals — 18kt gold, sterling silver — with powder glass beads hand-made by the Nupe people of Nigeria, I created a collection of men’s bracelets. Each bracelet comes in an Aso-Oke lined watersnake leather drawstring pouch of varying designs. The pouches double as key-chains.
You have been running Minku for three years now. How is it received?
Minku has been well received. Like any other entrepreneur, I have had some discouraging moments. But many good opportunities have also arisen, sometimes unexpectedly, and it is those that have helped Minku to grow. So I work hard on product and marketing, but I have also learned that serendipity is part of entrepreneurship.
Are there any specific experiences that shaped your resolve to be an entrepreneur?

My parents have been entrepreneurs for most of my life, so I had exposure to the idea of becoming one, quite early on. In 2010, I was accepted to Stanford University to study product design under the Stanford Mechanical Engineering Masters program. This was a dream come true for me because I love Formula 1 and I wanted to study how to design faster cars (I still do; I love working with constraints, and Formula 1 car design provides constraint sets that fascinate me). However, I had just moved to Barcelona less than a year earlier, and did not yet want to leave.

So, I had a hard question to answer: if I didn’t go to Stanford, could I still do good design, at a level similar to if I was a Stanford Product Design grad? I was not sure, but I decided to try. I think a lot of the courage to set out and start Minku came from desperately wanting the answer to that question to be a ‘yes’.
What do you think about the luxury market in Africa?
I think there is a fast-growing market for African-made luxury goods in Africa. Building this market to last will take a paradigm shift as to why it’s as cool to own a leather bag designed by a Nigerian or Kenyan luxury house as it is to own one from an Italian powerhouse. But it also takes much product/service refinement on the part of African designers and manufacturers. Recently, African designers have been hitting the mark on product refinement, even with local production. This has been producing results, and needs to continue. International gatherings like the 2012 IHT Luxury Conference also help to focus on Africa’s capacity for luxury creation and consumption. I like the idea of Africa as a destination for handmade luxury.
As a person running a business, what are some skills or attributes that you have found to be indispensable?
As a person running a business, I have found that optimism has helped me get far. If you combine an optimistic disposition with research and hard work, you can do great things.
As a creator of quality leather goods, what are some skills or attributes that you have found to be indispensable?
The main skill for me is creativity. I will go meta and say that an indispensable skill has been knowing how to get myself into my best creative mode.
Where do you see Minku in 5 years?
I try not to plan ahead much, because there are too many factors beyond my control. At the moment, growth for Minku is centered on making the most desirable products I can conceive. I am working with unusual materials: Aso-oke from Nigeria, and leather. So there is already some novelty there, but I am interested in seeing just how much excitement I can wring out of people, both men and women, on the mundane topic of bags. So much of my current focus is on that.
I belong to the generation where the most successful social network was started out of a dorm room, so for me, having a small atelier for working and an online storefront has not been unusual, and I am lucky that this model has been well-received. In five years, I would love to have a flagship store for Minku, perhaps in Lagos or New York City.

This article was first published by Forbes here
Mfonobong Nsehe travels across Africa, helping Forbes to chronicle the stories of successful African enterprises and entrepreneurs.

Friday, 22 August 2014

Top 10 African cities of the future

By 2040, Africa will experience faster economic growth than any other region and is expected to have the biggest labour force in the world, according to PwC’s latest Global Economy Watch, which puts the spotlight on the largest cities in sub-Saharan Africa.
As companies around the world look to exploit the widely reported untapped potential on the continent, the question now is, where can one focus if they want to expand their activities in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA)?
Most major corporations are already active in at least one of the four largest cities in SSA – Lagos, Kinshasa, Nairobi and Johannesburg. But, according to PwC economists, it is the ‘Next 10’ biggest cities in the region that should be exciting foreign investors. The population of these cities is projected to almost double by 2030, growing by around 32 million people.

Next 10 biggest cities

  1. Dar es Salaam (Tanzania)
  2. Luanda (Angola)
  3. Khartoum (Sudan)
  4. Abidjan (Cote d'Ivoire)
  5. Nairobi (Kenya)
  6. Kano (Nigeria)
  7. Dakar (Senegal)
  8. Ouagadougou (Burkina Faso)
  9. Addis Ababa (Ethiopia)
  10. Ibadan (Nigeria)

Top 3 cities

  1. Lagos (Nigeria)
  2. Kinshasa (DRC)
  3. Johannesburg (South Africa)

The latest UN projections show that by 2030 two of the ‘Next 10’ – Dar es Salaam and Luanda – could have bigger populations than London has now.
Cities are the typical entry points for businesses trying to expand into new overseas markets, because they enable closer interaction with customers in a relatively small geographic space, which in turn helps contain distribution costs.
One of the key factors that drive economic growth is the number of people of working age. PwC expects a bigger and younger urban population to be associated with strong GDP growth. The firm’s analysis shows that economic activity in the ‘Next 10’ cities could grow to about $140-billion by 2030. “This is roughly equivalent to the current annual output of Hungary,’ says Stanley Subramoney, Strategy leader of PwC’s South Market Region
This is a comparatively conservative estimate by PwC that assumes no real exchange rate appreciation despite relatively strong projected growth in these SSA economies.

More people, bigger business opportunities

One of the key factors that drive economic growth is the number of people of working age. PwC expects a bigger and younger urban population to be associated with strong GDP growth. Several trends are responsible for the increasing appeal of the region to international investors. These include high GDP growth rates, rapid urbanisation and the “demographic edge”. Other economic factors are the big new discoveries of natural reasons, substantial investment in infrastructure, sustained growth in per capital incomes and the growing ability of countries to raise project financing on international capital markets.

The three big hurdles 

There are however three problems that could slow the pace at which the ‘Next 10’ biggest cities in sub-Saharan Africa grow, says the report. These are issues that African countries have been trying to tackle for many decades with limited success:
Low quality of 'hard' infrastructure like highways, airports and trains, which increases the cost of doing business, eats away at business profits and discourages investment.
Inadequate 'soft' infrastructure like schools and universities, which could lead to a persistent skills gap that hampers long-term business growth.
Growing pains stemming from the inability of regulators and policymakers to manage effectively a larger and more complex economic system as growth proceeds. These problems could, for example, lead to credit or property bubbles as a result of rapid economic growth, or a failure to tackle issues relating to corruption and excessive bureaucracy that deter international investment.

Looking ahead
The challenges that policy makers face is to convert Africa’s demographic dividend into economic reality by overcoming these hurdles. “History suggests this will not be a quick or easy process. Investors should form their own plans to mitigate these problems by supporting infrastructure skills and development programmes,” says Stanley.
Source: APO

Tuesday, 12 August 2014

How to succeed as a franchisee

Turning a start-up franchise business into a success is tough, but possible. Learn from an expert the keys to striking gold.


By Jeremy Lang

If you’re the kind of guy who likes to go to sleep early, don’t buy a restaurant franchise. I am stating the obvious? Perhaps, but you’ll be surprised how many first-time franchisees make the mistake of buying a franchise that simply does not fit their lifestyles.
In the world of start-up franchising, it can easily be a fatal mistake to make, because there is so little room for error. Very few people who buy their first franchise have the resources for a second chance once they’ve found out that the franchise they had set their heart on is actually not the right fit.
Lifestyle preference is only one of three pillars which prospective franchisees must consider to make sure that the franchise they choose is the right fit for them. The other two are skills and personality.
The skills set of the entrepreneur is the most important. First, there is the technical know-how related to the specific industry, such as a beauty salon or a service station. You’ve got to be able to choose a franchise for which you either have a natural skills set, or one in which you’ve had previous experience in.
Irrespective of the industry, a franchisee will always have to be a jack-of-all-trades to a certain extent - the HR person, the salesperson, the office-manager person and the tea lady, so you’ve really got to have a good general hybrid of skills such as:
  • Good management ability, which is the core of what the franchisee is signing up for
  • Sales skills, because your whole enterprise revolves around your ability to secure business
  • An eye for detail and practical problem solving skills. Because you will be fulfilling multiple tasks in your business, you have to know as much about all the different systems as possible
  • Networking and relationship-building skills for forging ties with your clients, staff, suppliers and franchisor, and
  • Practical problem-solving skills. You are going to be faced with many challenges every day. You will have to be decisive, and think quickly to find solutions to problems.
This list is true for any start-up business, franchised or not, but there is one set of skills particular to franchising: the ability to follow the rules of the concept. Franchising is a recipe that requires strict adherence by franchisees, otherwise the service or product will start differing from branch to branch, and the collective power of the brand will suffer. If you are not somebody who likes to operate your business under a strict set of rules that you have not created, then franchising may not be for you.
Being a successful franchisee not only has to do with skills, but also with personality. Prospective franchisees need to be honest with themselves about their personality. A generally introverted person should shy from retail or service-heavy businesses such as restaurants. Similarly, a sociable, outgoing personality will become frustrated in a desk-bound business where there is little interaction with clients.
Although nothing can replace common-sense self-knowledge, I would suggest doing a personality test such as the Myers Briggs test, more to help you think through what you already know about yourself rather than teach you about aspects of your personality that you didn’t know.
The unknown usually lies on the side of the franchise. A first-time franchisee who knows himself well could still be in for a nasty surprise when it turns out that the franchise requires an approach, attitude or trait that he simply isn’t comfortable with.
There are two methods of avoiding this mistake. First, speak to the franchisor that you have your eye on. A reputable, established franchise group will have a very clear idea of what kind of personality and skills set are required to make a success of their concept. Some will have formal descriptions and even tests as part of their assessment process.
Most importantly, speak to the franchisees in the group that you want to join. If possible, work-shadow franchisees who are hands-on involved in the management of their businesses for a week or two. The exercise should leave you under few illusions about whether you are up to the task, and whether the work and lifestyle suit you.

Jeremy is regional general manager of Business Partners Limited.
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Below are links to some franchise opportunities on the Frontier platform

Friday, 25 July 2014

To 5 growth sectors in Nigeria's economy




As global investors look to Africa for growth opportunities, the focus on Nigeria (Africa's largest and most populous economy) is increasing, and for good reason. Data released this year shows the West African nation's is far more diverse than previously understood. Sectors such as agriculture and trade are actually quite large and fast-growing, and could soon near the worth of the oil sector.

But there are deep-seated and well-known challenges in Nigeria that can potentially stifle government's ambition for inclusive growth. Latest concerns about terrorism and poverty are worrying and overshadowing the other side of Nigeria that brims with opportunities and promise.

A new report by McKinsey Global Institute examines the country's economic potential and finds that with the right reforms and investments, it can become one of the world’s leading economies by 2030.  


“What people overlook is Nigeria’s extraordinary advantages for future growth, including a large consumer market, a strategic geographic location, and a young and highly entrepreneurial population,” says Reinaldo Fiorini, director and location manager of McKinsey’s Lagos office.
The results of Nigeria’s progress have not been spread evenly across its economy. More than 40% of the population live below the nation’s official poverty line and 130 million (74% of the population) live below the MGI Empowerment Line - a level of income and access to vital services that provides a decent standard of living.

The reasons for Nigeria’s persistent poverty include low farm productivity due to limited access to fertilizer and mechanized tools, and inefficient markets. At the same time, urbanization has not raised incomes the way it has in other developing economies.
According to the McKinsey report, Nigeria has the potential to expand its economy by roughly 7.1% per year through 2030, raising GDP to more than $1.6-trillion. This could make it a top-20 global economy - with higher GDP than the Netherlands, Thailand, or Malaysia in 2030. What’s more a large consuming class is developing in Nigeria, with potentially as many as 160 million members by 2030, more than the current populations of France and Germany combined.

This upside scenario is based on a bottom-up analysis of the potential for five major sectors of the Nigerian economy:

Trade

Given the expansion of the consumer class, we project that consumption could more than triple, rising to almost $1.4-trillion a year in 2030, an annual increase of about 8%. This would make trade the largest sector of the economy and provide a particularly good opportunity for makers of packaged foods and fast-moving consumer items such as paper goods, categories that could grow by more than 10 percent a year.

Agriculture

Improvements on several fronts could help raise both the volume and the value of Nigeria’s agricultural production in the next 15 years. The economic value of agriculture, already the largest sector of the economy, at 22% of GDP, could more than double, from $112 billion a year in 2013 to $263 billion by 2030

Infrastructure

On average, the value of a nation’s core infrastructure—roads, railways, ports, airports, and the electrical system—represents about 68 % of GDP, but in Nigeria it is only about 39%. Between core infrastructure and real estate, total infrastructure investments in Nigeria could reach $1.5-trillion from 2014 to 2030. This would make building infrastructure not only a major contributor to GDP but also an enabler of growth across the economy.

Manufacturing

Though growing rapidly, manufacturing in Nigeria contributed just $35-billion to the economy in 2013, or about 7% of GDP. If Nigeria could match the performance of nations such as Malaysia and Thailand when their manufacturing sectors were expanding rapidly, output could reach $144-billion a year in 2030.

Oil and gas

While the oil-and-gas sector is expected to grow by 2.3% a year at best, its success is still vital to Nigeria’s economy. With the right reforms, we estimate that liquids production could increase from an estimated 2.35 million barrels a day, on average, in 2013 to a new high of 3.13 million by 2030. Oil and gas would then contribute $108-billion annually to the economy, compared with $73-billion in 2013. However, this estimate of potential output assumes renewed investment to reverse the production declines of recent years.
Nigeria’s government has put in place clear strategies and plans for various sectors, and the most important step that it can take now is to improve its ability to deliver its programs and services. The country can also capitalise on several favorable trends such as rising demand from emerging economies, growing global demand for resources, and the spread of the digital economy.
“By capitalising on its strengths and positioning itself to take advantage of emerging global trends, Nigeria could potentially triple its GDP by 2030,” says Acha Leke, a director in McKinsey’s Nigeria office. “This adds up to a huge opportunity for inclusive growth that should not be missed.”


Thursday, 17 July 2014

Top 5 infrastructure investment opportunities in Africa

The 'Top 5 public private partnership opportunities in Africa' highlighted the best countries for PPPs in Africa. This article examines the best countries for infrastructure investment, if we assume all things to be equal in each country’s PPP system. 
Only one country - Nigeria - makes both top 5 lists, largely because it's government has made great strides in recent years to match its enthusiasm to develop infrastructure with the demand for infrastructure investment in the country. Over time, all political indicators point to a greater PPP environment in the other four countries on this list, and greater growth in PPPs across the continent. Still, in the short term, private investors should not be deterred by the challenges in the PPP markets, as officials in these countries have indicated that they are keen to bolster the PPP market, especially from a legal perspective, and participate with investors.

Angola

More than ten years after a 27-year civil war that left nearly 1.5 million people dead, Angola is taking off like no other country. Situated on the western cost of southern Africa, the country is home to a wealth of natural resources, most notably oil (making Angola the second largest oil producer in sub-Saharan Africa). A boom in real estate construction (including hotels) and financial services unsurprisingly accompanies the oil boom, making Luanda unrecognisable from 10 years ago.
On the surface, it is a perfect turnaround. But, as it goes in any other country, every boom has its challenges. The all-encompassing challenge in Angola’s growth story is infrastructure. New buildings, more people, and a deficit in power sums it up, says a major Lusophone private investor. Hydropower is an obvious solution and the government is making great strides in restoring its capabilities. Still the hydropower facilities and greater distribution systems for power remain a shell of themselves after their decimation in the civil war.
Fundo Soberano de Angola, the US$5-billion sovereign wealth fund for Angola, is targeting infrastructure investments across the country. Yet, despite the government’s pledge to transfer annual surpluses from the oil reserves account (with annual receipts as high as US$3.5-billion), greater investment will be required from foreign investors. The quality of the transport network, including airports and ports, is sub-par to support the country’s growth. Private investors will find an interested government partner and a lucrative return in connecting the resource-rich Democratic Republic of Congo with the Atlantic Ocean and partners in the transport-capable country of Namibia.

Mozambique

As the other big Lusophone country in southern Africa, Mozambique shares a similar story of civil war and decimation. Booming with gas reserves and the accompanying real estate sector, the country is in great need of a transport upgrade. Recent estimates by professional services firm, PwC, values transport projects in the pipeline at US$17-billion, including increased rail links to the ports and expanding port capacities. Yet, by all accounts and estimates, more money will be required to ensure that major ports, including Nacala, Beira and Macuse, reach full potential. Equally, transport networks from those ports to neighboring Zimbabwe, Malawi and Zambia require financing currently not available in the market.
A recent announcement by the Minister of Public Works Cadmiel Muthemba indicates an openness on the government’s side to erect more toll roads. The country currently has only one toll road - the N4 toll road connecting Maputo to South Africa - which is operated by South Africa’s Trans Africa Concessions (TRAC). Private operators see enormous return potential in several routes, including highways between Manica and Tete, between Nampula and the port of Nacala, and between Marracuene and Inhambane.
Speaking at the ‘Africa Rising’ conference back in May, hosted by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in Mozambique, the Minister of Planning and Development Aiuba Cuereneia stated the country’s notable gains in paved roads and the projects in the pipelines. Equally, during Q&A, he conceded that more financing was required, specifically from foreign investors, to match the plans envisioned by the government.
A power deficit is also quite noticeable in the country. A changing environment for public private partnerships should breathe life into this sector in the near term.

Cote D’Ivoire

Talk of a country booming under the public radar. Cote d’Ivoire has made amazing strides since the assumption of power by President Alassane Ouattara in 2011. The economy expanded 9.8% in 2012 and 8.7%  in 2013, with an estimated 8.0% predicted in 2014, according to the IMF. Yet it remains a fragile state, especially with elections around the corner in 2015.
The country is the largest producer of cocoa as well a global player in the palm oil and cashew nuts markets. Cargill, Cadbury and Hershey’s among many others call the country an agriculture hub - yet the country is nowhere near its potential. Infrastructural upgrades in the transport sector, specifically ports and road infrastructure, will greatly boost the country’s capacity for moving agricultural products and growing its position as a food basket and trading partner to neighboring Sierra Leone, Liberia, and Ghana.
The arrival of energy companies, following the discovery of oil reserves, will help fill government coffers for spending on infrastructure. But the boost in cash, particularly in the short term, is not sufficient to jump the infrastructural hurdle left by years of civil war. The power necessary to buoy the energy, agriculture (including agri-processing) and manufacturing sectors going forward is simply not there, creating big opportunities for investors. But it cannot be ignored that Cote d’Ivoire did not make our list for public partnerships in sub-Saharan Africa, as the government will have to do more to appease investor concerns and mediate risk. More details around regulation should appear after next year’s election.

Nigeria

As mentioned before, Nigeria is the only country to appear on both the top five list for public private partnerships and top five list for greatest infrastructural opportunity. Nigeria has one of the greatest infrastructural needs on the continent, particularly due to its size and population, and its politicians recognize this grave infrastructural challenge, consequently enacting laws to promote public private partnerships across the country.
The estimated cost of infrastructure investment required over next 10 years hovers between $8-billion and $10-billion. The newly-established sovereign wealth fund for the country cannot pay the bill for everything. Thus private investors will have a wealth of opportunities to keep picking from in the near future, especially in Nigeria’s power and accompanying transport sectors. Recent laws and change in government approach has numerous private operators waiting at the gates to make a deal. Some parties do complain that the due diligence process is absurdly arduous but this should gradually change over time.

Ethiopia

Ethiopia has the highest spending on infrastructure as a percentage of GDP in Africa. The government is dedicated to delivering high quality infrastructure to the country as the impetus for investment in the country’s other business sectors, particularly manufacturing/industrial and agriculture. For a country with 90 million people and relatively un-urbanized compared to its peers, improved transport - specifically roads and rails - is critical to moving goods to disperse populations.
The country’s leadership currently envisions an energy surplus following the completion of its latest dam project. But this should not lead investors to think the investment opportunities are limited for the power sector. Power purchased at the borders with Djibouti and Somalia can go north of US$0.75 per kWh depending on the time of the year. Thus, Ethiopia's vast land mass - ripe with energy opportunities from geothermal to gas to wind - offers boundless potential for growth.
Power generation could solely justify Ethiopia’s ranking in the top five. But, it would be a failure to ignore the demand for increased investment in power distribution. Any opening to foreign investment in the telecommunication sector will offer investors access to a country desperate for improved telecom infrastructure. Creative operators are already considering opportunities in water and sewage treatment which will become a graver concern to the country’s population as it approaches and surpasses 100 million persons.
It is not about the potential return with Ethiopia, in the eyes of those investors currently looking at the country, but rather all about timing (as to when a sector is more liberalized or the project gets approved). Whether today or in a year, the country will remain very attractive for infrastructure investment.

This article is re-published with permission from Frontier's content partner, Ventures Africa.

Wednesday, 2 July 2014

Growing a footwear brand in Africa

Nigerian footwear company, Maducho Luchi, saw a lucrative opportunity to supply luxury fashion products to the country's increasingly affluent middle class.

Africa's growth story is encouraging more people to start their own businesses, with the aim of taking advantage of the huge opportunities especially in consumer-facing sectors.
In Nigeria, footwear manufacturer Maducho Luchi successfully tapped the country's vibrant fashion industry to produce footwear for local and international markets. 
In this interview, Graham Chike, sales and business development director at Maducho Luchi, narrates the company's challenging but rewarding journey of starting a contemporary African shoe line.
Tell us about Maducho Luchi
Maducho Luchi is a brand that is focused on designing and creating fashion products that are fused with a touch of African culture and a modern appeal. We kicked off the brand with men shoes and have plans to diversify in to other products in the near future. Our target is to create a system whereby fashion products from sub-Saharan African are appreciated overseas, thereby creating growth in several sectors of the economy on the continent. 
It all started in September 2012, when I met with my first creative director. Then there was no name to the brand. We just wanted people in the United Kingdom to experience shoes designed and made in Nigeria. They loved them, and in February 2013 when I returned home after completing my MSc degree, we started Maducho Luchi. The name Maducho Luchi came from a fusion of some African names. We had to think of something easy to pronounce, yet outstanding. Marketing brands today is different from what it was in the past. So one has to think of how a brand name can sell now and also in the future. It has been many ups and downs since then. We are over a year old now and I can say that we now have some good level of acknowledgement by users and celebrities. We have also managed to ship luxury shoes to many parts of the world and generated revenue that has kept the brand running smoothly. 
Why are most of your marketing campaigns focused on Europe and the Middle East? 
A lot of companies and brand facilitators really appreciate talent in these markets, so yes, we are deliberately focusing there. The fashion industries in Europe and Middle East are very keen to see new products. Smart designers take advantage and use that as a good path to success overseas which triggers success back home. 
How has the brand being received locally?
Brand appreciation in Nigeria has been wonderful. Some people love good craftsmanship here. And with little or no marketing, we have been able to grab a fair market share.
What strategies have you used to brand and market within Africa?
We have a big model waiting for good investors to buy in. We won’t let the cat out of the bag now. But once the investors come on board. It would spread like wildfire. A strong campaign that anyone who wants to copy would key into. But for now we only take on social media campaigns which is a growing trend in Africa. It has also done us well.
What challenges have you faced locally since starting Maducho Luchi?
Starting a brand in Nigeria is hard. We need more support but get less. The system doesn’t encourage good export trends. We don’t have a good market structure to engineer products so as to generate more jobs locally. You don’t get investors at the right time. And many others challenges.
How has Maducho Luchi managed to maneuver such challenges so far?
We have always set a goal and a target. The team has many technocrats, and most of us have schooled and worked in Nigeria and overseas - this has worked to our advantage. We leverage on this combined experience and education to overcome the challenges. We have firm goals - to produce and deliver an excellent product that will make our local and international customers happy. 
Is the market for luxury shoes sustainable in Africa? 
There is supporting data on the increasing demand for luxury products in Africa, and many international brands have already moved in to exploit the opportunities in countries like South Africa, Kenya, Angola, Ghana and Nigeria. So, there is definitely a big market for the shoes - we have done so well with very little marketing push. This is a profitable venture, and we really encourage investors to come on board. 
What advice would you offer potential startups in Africa?
A lot of fashion brands have come up in Africa and are now successful. In this line of business, it is possible to create a sustainable brand and profits. But one must have a firm plan, great passion and drive, and be ready to build a strong team because, as we say here, two brains are better than one. Find reliable and talented people who believe in your dream and you can make a fortune together. 

This article is re-published with permission from Frontier's content partner, Ventures Africa.