By Tielman Nieuwoudt, Principal at The Supply Chain Lab
Ethiopia is the second most populous country in Africa (after Nigeria) and one of the fastest growing economies, with an average GDP growth rate of 10% (IMF) over the last eight years.
When entering Ethiopia, there are a number of issues to consider when designing your Route-to-Market:
Infrastructure and territories
Ethiopia has made great progress in infrastructure development with the country spending US$-1.3-billion or 10% of its GDP annually on infrastructure development, according to the South African Institute of International Affairs. However, as impressive as these numbers are, distributing products in upcountry areas remains a challenging undertaking.
Port
Ethiopia lost its port in 1992, when Eritrea became independent. They now rely on the port of Djibouti where costs are high. It costs more to transport a container from Djibouti to Addis Ababa than China to Djibouti (The Economist). The Lamu Port-South Sudan-Ethiopia Transport Corridor (Lapsset) holds future potential.
Territories
In comparison to other African countries, Ethiopia has a low urbanisation rate (11% vs. 30%). Addis Ababa, the capital city, contributes the bulk of the volume in Ethiopia. Ethiopia’s second city, Dire Dawa, has a population of 274,000 (ESA) compared to Addis Ababa’s estimated three million. It is estimated that 38% of the population still resides five hours or more away from a city with a population of 50,000 (IFPR).
Trade channels
Modern trade is in the very early stages of development and there are currently no international supermarkets operating in Ethiopia. In a very fragmented trade market, souks/kiosks remains the largest trade channel in Ethiopia.
Market
The Mercato market in Addis Ababa is one of the largest markets in Africa and the largest in Ethiopia. The market is dominated by wholesalers. Some companies generate more than 70% of their sales from Mercato. Wholesalers make low margins (2-5%) and most tend to be passive, waiting for customers to collect. While the role of Mercato wholesalers cannot be overlooked, they are not always a good option for building relationship with retailers and building brands. Most MNCs (Multinational companies) we talked to highlighted the importance of direct distribution, as it remains difficult to build a brand through a wholesale system.
Route-to-Market Models
MNCs are entering Ethiopia though distributors as they lack the required knowledge, scale and product portfolio to build their own distribution. However, beverage companies with local bottling operations also make use of direct distribution (key accounts) and micro distribution (such as the Coca-Cola Micro distribution system). It is important to note that foreign companies cannot distribute imported finished products, whether sourced directly or from local importers.
Organisation
Most MNCs are still operating out of their Nairobi offices. However, companies are increasingly opening new offices in Addis Ababa. Ethiopia is significantly different from the other East African markets and care should be taken to understand the culture aspects. Including when displaying role models for advertising purposes. Foreign investors are increasingly recognising the consumer goods potential in the country, as recent acquisitions from Diageo, Heineken and Tiger brands have demonstrated.
No comments:
Post a Comment